Post by aldewitt on Dec 10, 2017 8:19:00 GMT -6
PREDICTED WINNER: JMU Dukes
SPREAD: -3
OVER/UNDER: 53
MYTHICAL SCORE: JMU 28 SDSU 25
SUGGESTED ACTION: Take JMU to win, cover and take the over.
There is an upset alert on this game.
The Jacks are hot. Both teams rely on the run each bringing over 200 yds/game to this contest, both control the ball and convert third downs. The advantage is hard to find. I keep coming back to the WR and QB advantage I believe SDSU has. I like SDSUs momentum too. The win over the Bison put them in a different frame of mind. This makes SDSU a likely upset pick. I like SDSU and the points but just cant go with that call.
The edge JMU is showing results from their stingy defense only allowing 134 points. In contrast SDSU has allowed 284 and the Bison 135. SDSU has overcome this by simply outscoring their opponents with 505 on the season. JMU has gone undefeated and didn't need as many points scoring 452.
PERFORMANCE FACTOR*:
SDSU on a typical day against JMU will score 39. The JMU defense will allow SDSU 10. 39/10=3.9 Tremendous amount of dynamic tension is indicated between the SDSU offense and JMU defense. This shows us it's less likely the Jacks will have their day. Can they outperform the JMU defense by a factor of almost 4?
JMU on a typical day against SDSU will score 34. The SDSU defense will allow JMU 21 34/21=1.62 indicates far less dynamic tension between the JMU offense and SDSU defense telling us JMU is more likely to have their day than SDSU.
I want to call the upset but the Performance Factor and JMU home field tell me that is unlikely.
*all figures rounded
SPREAD: -3
OVER/UNDER: 53
MYTHICAL SCORE: JMU 28 SDSU 25
SUGGESTED ACTION: Take JMU to win, cover and take the over.
There is an upset alert on this game.
The Jacks are hot. Both teams rely on the run each bringing over 200 yds/game to this contest, both control the ball and convert third downs. The advantage is hard to find. I keep coming back to the WR and QB advantage I believe SDSU has. I like SDSUs momentum too. The win over the Bison put them in a different frame of mind. This makes SDSU a likely upset pick. I like SDSU and the points but just cant go with that call.
The edge JMU is showing results from their stingy defense only allowing 134 points. In contrast SDSU has allowed 284 and the Bison 135. SDSU has overcome this by simply outscoring their opponents with 505 on the season. JMU has gone undefeated and didn't need as many points scoring 452.
PERFORMANCE FACTOR*:
SDSU on a typical day against JMU will score 39. The JMU defense will allow SDSU 10. 39/10=3.9 Tremendous amount of dynamic tension is indicated between the SDSU offense and JMU defense. This shows us it's less likely the Jacks will have their day. Can they outperform the JMU defense by a factor of almost 4?
JMU on a typical day against SDSU will score 34. The SDSU defense will allow JMU 21 34/21=1.62 indicates far less dynamic tension between the JMU offense and SDSU defense telling us JMU is more likely to have their day than SDSU.
I want to call the upset but the Performance Factor and JMU home field tell me that is unlikely.
*all figures rounded
