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Post by aldewitt on Dec 17, 2017 9:24:16 GMT -6
PREDICTED WINNER: NDSU SPREAD: -1 OVER/UNDER: 51 MYTHICAL SCORE: NDSU 26 JMU 25 RECOMMENDED ACTION: Take the Bison to cover and take the over Very close game. It's been this way most of the season: 1 point in favor of the Bison. It’s a persistent edge. It extends out to the third decimal place, beyond almost any measure of our common reality. This lends confidence. On the left side of the decimal we have the so-called reality numbers. It’s Bison 26 Dukes 25 On the right we enter into the box of Schroder’s cat. The score there is NDSU 25,515 JMU 25,308. We have to go out to the third place to find a JMU advantage. You could say the spread is 1.31 with mythical score NDSU 26 JMU 25.31 The third place is not used in our real world experiences. i.e.. Time is taken 2 places to the second. Money is taken 2 places to the penny. 2 places is a common cut-off. It works in football procrastination too. The third place gives us a peak in the box. In a more practical sense the NDSU rushing game is hitting on all cylinders. The Bison are a rushing team. 61% of their yardage and 63% of their scores come on the ground. It’s a powerful rushing game rarely stopped. It has literally in the past few years marched into the most storied stadiums in the FBS and run at will. Over 300 yards at Iowa! No different in the FCS with 472 against SHSU Friday! JMU comes in with a great rushing D. 88 yds/game. They gave twice that to the Jacks, 117 to Stoney Brook (only gained 86) and 102 to Weber. They are a balanced attack. They will jump on you if you show weakness. Weber gave up 233 yards on the ground to the Dukes. They average over 400 yds/game about equal to passing and rushing. The 1 point is all I would give. In fact its so close I wouldn’t give any. If you can find someone to give you points and the Bison back up the truck. I’m taking the over. Two great defenses have held top notch opponents to little or nothing while scoring seeming at will. These great offenses could each score 3. After that all you need is TD and a FG. Besides, the over is more fun. Ps. it could have been National Championship but I guess its not 
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 17, 2017 9:46:28 GMT -6
In a lot of ways NDSU is playing "the benches" of the eastern FBS conferences that JMU raids for many of their players. Listening to the game last night it seemed I heard the JMU players names often accompanied by the words "a transfer from (insert FBS school here)".
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 17, 2017 10:17:37 GMT -6
A couple weeks ago you could buy championship tickets for $136 on the 20 yard line, on stub hub. Top prices were pushing $600. Today the cheapest ticket in the stadium is $395 and the top $2,069! That stadium is a huge money maker with this game if you know what you are doing with tickets.
There are 22 tickets @ $394.95 and 23 over $2,000.
The stadium will be packed. JMU travels well too. The tailgate lots will be partying on Friday and it will be something. Im tempted to go for the party and head to the bar for the game (I won't). Lots of people do that at the Fargo Dome.
The Fargo Dome should bring in humongous screens for the game, fill the floor with food trucks and vendors of all sorts. Let the concessions in the concorse sell the beer or set-up a beer garden. It would be huge.
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 17, 2017 10:41:33 GMT -6
No intangables were applied.
It's as much a home field for NDSU as they can hope. JMU won there last year. Neither team will be bothered by the trip.
Coaching on both is fabulous. Both have a reputation as stepping-stone programs for coaches.
Is the Bison Mystic, or as I named it years ago, "The Bison Lore", in play? It certainly crumbled some of the foundation stones at Iowa. Once they started the "we have nothing to gain playing a great team like NDSU" talk, I began to suspect them. You wont hear any of that from Nebraska fans when the Jacks and UND visit. That's why they got called.
Is motivation in play? The more NDSU dominates the division with wins, revenues and ratings the more likely they become a school of interest for some type of realignment in the FBS. A big 12 invite automatically builds a 50,000 seater in Fargo maybe even with a dome. Can this motivate the Bison by adding the infamous "swagger"?
The stated goal of the JSU program and coaches is to build a team designed to beat NDSU and dominate FCS. The Dukes are often mentioned in the realignment discussions. That has given them "the swagger". Does it mean anything anymore? The Bison rarely if ever lose two in-a-row to any team.
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Post by elcoyote on Dec 17, 2017 12:47:21 GMT -6
PREDICTED WINNER: NDSU SPREAD: -1 OVER/UNDER: 51 MYTHICAL SCORE: NDSU 26 JMU 25 RECOMMENDED ACTION: Take the Bison to cover and take the over Very close game. It's been this way most of the season: 1 point in favor of the Bison. It’s a persistent edge. It extends out to the third decimal place, beyond almost any measure of our common reality. This lends confidence. On the left side of the decimal we have the so-called reality numbers. It’s Bison 26 Dukes 25 On the right we enter into the box of Schroder’s cat. The score there is NDSU 25,515 JMU 25,308. We have to go out to the third place to find a JMU advantage. You could say the spread is 1.31 with mythical score NDSU 26 JMU 25.31 The third place is not used in our real world experiences. i.e.. Time is taken 2 places to the second. Money is taken 2 places to the penny. 2 places is a common cut-off. It works in football procrastination too. The third place gives us a peak in the box. In a more practical sense the NDSU rushing game is hitting on all cylinders. The Bison are a rushing team. 61% of their yardage and 63% of their scores come on the ground. It’s a powerful rushing game rarely stopped. It has literally in the past few years marched into the most storied stadiums in the FBS and run at will. Over 300 yards at Iowa! No different in the FCS with 472 against SHSU Friday! JMU comes in with a great rushing D. 88 yds/game. They gave twice that to the Jacks, 117 to Stoney Brook (only gained 86) and 102 to Weber. They are a balanced attack. They will jump on you if you show weakness. Weber gave up 233 yards on the ground to the Dukes. They average over 400 yds/game about equal to passing and rushing. The 1 point is all I would give. In fact its so close I wouldn’t give any. If you can find someone to give you points and the Bison back up the truck. I’m taking the over. Two great defenses have held top notch opponents to little or nothing while scoring seeming at will. These great offenses could each score 3. After that all you need is TD and a FG. Besides, the over is more fun. Ps. it could have been National Championship but I guess its not "the box of Schroder's cat"? I think that was mentioned on "Young Sheldon" this week. I had never heard of that term before and now twice in one week! You're not Sheldon, are you? |
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 17, 2017 12:59:08 GMT -6
No, I’m not but if unfamiliar with the term it’s worth searching for it. There will be a lot on it but it’s a thought experiment often used to support the multiple universe theory. We don’t know if the cat in the box is alive or dead unless we look, so in the meantime, what state of being is the cat in? Alive, dead or in between,
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Post by elcoyote on Dec 17, 2017 13:39:53 GMT -6
No, I’m not but if unfamiliar with the term it’s worth searching for it. There will be a lot on it but it’s a thought experiment often used to support the multiple universe theory. We don’t know if the cat in the box is alive or dead unless we look, so in the meantime, what state of being is the cat in? Alive, dead or in between, Actually, I did google it. I think that stuff is a little above my pay grade. Anyway, love all the things you bring to this board. |
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 17, 2017 14:10:46 GMT -6
Thank you, it’s been fun for me too.
JUST IN:
Ndsu favored by 3. Total is 43.
they have the Bison covering but the over under is respecting the defenses.
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Post by Coyote Fan on Dec 18, 2017 0:14:12 GMT -6
I am all in on the Bison winning this game. When they completely dismantled Sam Houston I almost didn't care what happened in the JMU vs SDSU game as I was convinced the Bison were winning the title. The Bison are really going to be motivated and their fans the same way. They want the taste back in their mouths and I think their will to win will be higher than that of JMU. SDSU's turnovers made it really difficult to judge either team in that game to be honest.
I am going 35-13 NDSU to reclaim the National Championship and that is not a poke at James Madison, that is how good I think this Bison team is.
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 18, 2017 20:39:42 GMT -6
It’s close
Massey - NDSU 2 point favorites (23-21 predicted score)
Sagarin - NDSU 3 point favorites (rounded) total score 43
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Post by aldewitt on Jan 2, 2018 10:09:40 GMT -6
This football game is close. The key right now are the injuries in the Bison secondary. The main advantage overall is the NDSU rushing attack.
Power ratios (bigger numbers are better):
Rushing NDSU 3.20 JMU 2.27 Advantage Bison.
The Bison rushing attack has experienced some key injuries but their depth is incredible. The power ratio shows NDSUs rushing game is 3.2 times as strong as the JMU rushing defense. It has a 69% chance of success in acheiving thier typical rushing day which almost always ends up in a Bison victory. If this thing plays out as expected there will be a lot of back and forth but the consistency and explosiveness of the Bison rushing attack will begin to have a cumulative affect.
Passing NDSU 1.10 JMU 1.58 Advantage JMU
You can see the power advantage JMU has. They have a 64% chance of success with their passing game. This could grow to be fatal for the Bison because depth in the defensive backfield will be tested.
With the more balanced attack JMU may have more redundency in their system to overcome a stalled ground game or a slowdown in their passing attack. The Bison on the other hand have Easton Stick. Sure their passing numbers are smaller, but they can afford it with the rushing attack they have. They seem to get what they need when the pass is called for. Im staying with the Herd and the 1 point advantage. But I dont think its wise to give points to the Dukes.
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Post by elcoyote on Jan 2, 2018 12:37:55 GMT -6
This football game is close. The key right now are the injuries in the Bison secondary. The main advantage overall is the NDSU rushing attack. Power ratios (bigger numbers are better): Rushing NDSU 3.20 JMU 2.27 Advantage Bison. The Bison rushing attack has experienced some key injuries but their depth is incredible. The power ratio shows NDSUs rushing game is 3.2 times as strong as the JMU rushing defense. It has a 69% chance of success in acheiving thier typical rushing day which almost always ends up in a Bison victory. If this thing plays out as expected there will be a lot of back and forth but the consistency and explosiveness of the Bison rushing attack will begin to have a cumulative affect. Passing NDSU 1.10 JMU 1.58 Advantage JMU You can see the power advantage JMU has. They have a 64% chance of success with their passing game. This could grow to be fatal for the Bison because depth in the defensive backfield will be tested. With the more balanced attack JMU may have more redundency in their system to overcome a stalled ground game or a slowdown in their passing attack. The Bison on the other hand have Easton Stick. Sure their passing numbers are smaller, but they can afford it with the rushing attack they have. They seem to get what they need when the pass is called for. Im staying with the Herd and the 1 point advantage. But I dont think its wise to give points to the Dukes. NDSU has had injuries at the running back position, sure, and to some top contributors, but I think the running back position is one of the most fluid and easily replaceable on the field. A talented, inexperienced freshman can usually step in and be successful especially if running behind an exceptional line which, to me, is the most important component in a top notch rushing attack. The 1% back can level some of this out, but those don't come along too often especially at the FCS level. I don't think their run game suffers at all. As for the defensive backfield position...not so much. Experience rules the house here in my mind so this could possibly be the Bison's Achilles heel. |
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Post by coyotecrazie5 on Jan 2, 2018 18:56:05 GMT -6
I'm thinking Bizzzzun by 7.
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Post by Yotes on Jan 2, 2018 19:03:07 GMT -6
NDSU gets their revenge.
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Post by Yote 53 on Jan 6, 2018 15:41:04 GMT -6
NDSU wins it. Congrats to them.
We need to do the MVFC and the FCS a favor and take these guys down.
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