MVFC GAMES 11/10/18

[aldewitt]

Nov 10, 2018 9:39:34 GMT -6 kiyoat said:

Should be fun to test it against other systems this year, anyway. For basketball KenPom is kind-of the gold standard right now, with Sagarin and Massey not far behind. I really like Massey because they have a very user-friendly interface on their site, and cover lots of sports, including VB and WBB. You should try your hand at Basketball this year.

I don't know kitkat, maybe if it can be adapted.  Never thought about it.  Right now its having its own problems.  The YSU bet was golden as they lead UNI 28-10 in the third.  Both teams look great.

[aldewitt]

Exciting results from Week 11.  The GAM holds up.  It was the only indicator catching the momentum of YSU and reflecting the slow demise of the Redbirds.  SDSU and NDSU continue to perform at high levels. 

GAMES 11/10/18.  

GAME	GAM Prediction	GAM O/U	SAGARIN	5Dimes	O/U	Actual  Score
SDSU@SIU	SDSU -14	64	SDSU -20	SDSU -24.5	71.5	SDSU 57-38
UNI@YSU	UNI -6	50	UNI -14	UNI -15	41	YSU 31-10
ILS@IND	ILS -5	57	ILS -13	ILS -10	53	IND 28-23
WIU@USD	WIU -3	59	WIU -3	Even line	66.5	USD 17-12
NDSU@MSU	NDSU -16	56	NDSU -30	NDSU -31	56	NDSU 48-7
UND @ N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

2.44 AWARDED TO HOME TEAM FOR SAGARIN SCORES


The SDSU/SIU game was a fun scoring fest to watch.  Eventually the Jacks pulled away.  Lots of offensive weapons.

YSU is finally showing everyone what kind of team they should have been.  For about 20 minutes these teams were playing the best football I have seen all year.  Spectacular individual efforts and team success for both sides made it a worthwhile game.  Both teams showed up and YSU won.

ILS is fading but the Sycamores are a program on the move.  Steadily, all year, they have been improving their statistical profile, especially on offense.  It's starting to resemble the top teams in the league.  This is a great team to watch.  They are playing inspired ball.  They are having fun and it's obviously meaningful to them as we see in their camaraderie.  These guys ARE THE Underdog! 

This game had the main screen.  It was just as predicted.  A great win for the team and coach Nelson.  These are the kinds of wins the Yotes need.  They need to see their work is paying off, have the satisfaction of a good record and they are part of a team.  It feels good to know your back is covered.  It wasn't there for us this year but there are green shoots everywhere.  It was a rebuilding season and next week is critical for it's success.

The Bison roll on.  There is a great series of articles in Bison Illustrated showing the path NDSU has taken.  Mostly graphs it shows how revenues and support are built.  It's interesting in relation to both the Augie and FBS discussions because it shows how programs evolve from D2 to D1 and possibly FBS football for some.