|
|
Post by fightsd on Sept 25, 2017 12:18:44 GMT -6
I'm going to say it one more time. This is dumb. I like the posts, when they are for the current opponent. I agree. I think it's interesting to see how the coyotes stack up on paper, but looking at games that are still two months out is dumb. |
|
|
|
Post by aldewitt on Sept 27, 2017 4:07:31 GMT -6
Duplicate post
|
|
|
|
Post by aldewitt on Sept 27, 2017 4:13:53 GMT -6
Almost game day! Here's the call: no change from earlier projection. I see the national line is USD -1. The line I have presented is more accurate. Of course the game is played by humans but if each team plays to its abilities here is the result Projected winner: USD Spread: USD -5 Over/Under: 65 Typical Score: USD 35 WIU 30 I gave WIU +3 for home advantage Both teams have powerful offenses with dominating running games. USD has a more prolific passing game. Both defenses are extremely stingy on the ground. This could be a long game with a lot of passing. Lots of yards maybe lots of scoring? The difference is at QB. Im expecting a good game. Maybe the best in the valley. I'm taking USD to win and cover the 5. I'm taking the under. "Rought" potential lies with the Yotes. |
|
|
|
Post by aldewitt on Sept 27, 2017 4:21:52 GMT -6
I like the posts, when they are for the current opponent. I agree. I think it's interesting to see how the coyotes stack up on paper, but looking at games that are still two months out is dumb. It's essential to keep an eye on all games but keep the focus on this week if you want to understand your team, where it is, where it's been and where it could go. |
|
|
|
Post by aldewitt on Sept 30, 2017 5:34:45 GMT -6
Appreciate the enthusiasm for Coyote football and for a new member to the board, but can we please reserve these posts for the week in which we're actually playing the game? I'll track future games here and will put the weekly call in the game thread. That way you don't have to waste your time reading about the future and can efficiently focus on each weeks game by strictly focusing on the weeks game thread. You can always come back here to the future if you want. |
|
|
|
Post by aldewitt on Sept 30, 2017 9:46:53 GMT -6
Heres how the season looks this morning:
10-1
USD @ WIU: USD -5, O/U 65, typical score 35-30
YSU @ USD: USD -7, O/U 67, typical score 32-25
ISUb @ USD: USD -26, O/U 62, typical score 44-18
USD @ ISUr: USD -3, O/U 57, typical score 30-27
SIU @ USD: USD -10, O/U 64, typical score 37-27
USD @ UNI: USD -22, O/U 66, tyical score 44-22
USD @ NDSU: USD +8, O/U 72, typical score 27-35
SDSU @ USD: USD -5, O/U 63, typical score 34-29
|
|
|
|
Post by gopheryote on Sept 30, 2017 11:17:42 GMT -6
Heres how the season looks this morning: 10-1 USD @ WIU: USD -5, O/U 65, typical score 35-30 YSU @ USD: USD -7, O/U 67, typical score 32-25 ISUb @ USD: USD -26, O/U 62, typical score 44-18 USD @ ISUr: USD -3, O/U 57, typical score 30-27 SIU @ USD: USD -10, O/U 64, typical score 37-27 USD @ UNI: USD -22, O/U 66, tyical score 44-22 USD @ NDSU: USD +8, O/U 72, typical score 27-35 SDSU @ USD: USD -5, O/U 63, typical score 34-29 Well, that's how you know it isn't real. We haven't lost in Fargo in like 3 or 4 years. |
|
|
|
Post by aldewitt on Sept 30, 2017 15:34:22 GMT -6
USD had their first win in Fargo in 2015 since 1978 so it's been like 2 or 3 yrs
|
|
|
|
Post by goyotes24 on Sept 30, 2017 20:19:23 GMT -6
Almost game day! Here's the call: no change from earlier projection. I see the national line is USD -1. The line I have presented is more accurate. Of course the game is played by humans but if each team plays to its abilities here is the result Projected winner: USD Spread: USD -5 Over/Under: 65 Typical Score: USD 35 WIU 30 I gave WIU +3 for home advantage Both teams have powerful offenses with dominating running games. USD has a more prolific passing game. Both defenses are extremely stingy on the ground. This could be a long game with a lot of passing. Lots of yards maybe lots of scoring? The difference is at QB. Im expecting a good game. Maybe the best in the valley. I'm taking USD to win and cover the 5. I'm taking the under. "Rought" potential lies with the Yotes. Final score of 38-33 (although, barring some shaky game management in the end, USD should have run away with it) Your criteria correctly predicted a 5 point difference in favor of USD. Of note, the combined score of 71 was just six points over the over/under mark. I like this, keep them coming. |
|
|
|
Post by Coyote Fan on Sept 30, 2017 22:16:16 GMT -6
Final score of 38-33 (although, barring some shaky game management in the end, USD should have run away with it) Your criteria correctly predicted a 5 point difference in favor of USD. Of note, the combined score of 71 was just six points over the over/under mark. I like this, keep them coming. The computer/criteria/whatever was lucky this time but I don't think it would have predicted a 5 point win the Coyotes were up 32 over midway through the 3rd and definitely would have never had either team with a lead as large as the Coyotes had. |
|
|
|
Post by goyotes24 on Sept 30, 2017 22:30:06 GMT -6
Final score of 38-33 (although, barring some shaky game management in the end, USD should have run away with it) Your criteria correctly predicted a 5 point difference in favor of USD. Of note, the combined score of 71 was just six points over the over/under mark. I like this, keep them coming. The computer/criteria/whatever was lucky this time but I don't think it would have predicted a 5 point win the Coyotes were up 32 over midway through the 3rd and definitely would have never had either team with a lead as large as the Coyotes had. Right, which I eluded to in the parenthetical. Nonetheless, I still like seeing the data relative to real life outcomes. |
|
|
|
Post by aldewitt on Oct 1, 2017 3:11:30 GMT -6
Both teams were able to achieve their statistical potentials. As a result the score was very similar to the GAM result. It really doesn't matter when the points were scored or what game conditions were at any given time.
Because of the GAM analysis I was expecting a WIU rally. It proved they are bonafide.
|
|
|
|
Post by aldewitt on Oct 1, 2017 9:44:29 GMT -6
Heres how the season looks this morning:
Current record 4-0 Indicated final record 9-2. Last week 10-1. The indicated losses will probably restrict USD to an at large bid on the road, but the Dakota Dome is nice so we will have to see.
Change from last week ISUr game switched from win to loss. The teams tightened to a statistical tie so intangables were activated. The Swamp is a tough place to play and ISUr controls the ball as well as anyone.
Overall everything seemed to tighten a bit. The rally by WIU and a better performance by teams, especially on defense, caused this.
|
|
|
|
Post by aldewitt on Oct 1, 2017 9:56:05 GMT -6
Final score of 38-33 (although, barring some shaky game management in the end, USD should have run away with it) Your criteria correctly predicted a 5 point difference in favor of USD. Of note, the combined score of 71 was just six points over the over/under mark. I like this, keep them coming. the Coyotes were up 32 over midway through the 3rd and definitely would have never had either team with a lead as large as the Coyotes had. The GAM didn't predict a 5 point win. It said there was a 5 point spread between the teams. It's a measure of relative strength. It is a guide to anyone wanting to bet the game or make their own guess. As it turned out the spread was a wash, it was the only game in the league to go over and the right team won. The GAM predicted the winner but as always the over/under and spread are simply a guess. |
|
|
|
Post by Coyote Fan on Oct 1, 2017 12:16:45 GMT -6
Heres how the season looks this morning: Current record 4-0 Indicated final record 9-2. Last week 10-1. The indicated losses will probably restrict USD to an at large bid on the road, but the Dakota Dome is nice so we will have to see. Change from last week ISUr game switched from win to loss. The teams tightened to a statistical tie so intangables were activated. The Swamp is a tough place to play and ISUr controls the ball as well as anyone. Overall everything seemed to tighten a bit. The rally by WIU and a better performance by teams, especially on defense, caused this. There is something very wrong with the committee if the Coyotes go 9-2 with their schedule and don't get a top 8 seed, let alone not even getting a home game in the first round of the playoffs (which I know is based on bidding, which in itself is stupid). That would be one of the biggest injustices ever. They would have to be 6-2 in the conference as well. Wasn't there a seeded team last year that went 8-3? Not sure but many Coyotes fans would be beyond pissed if they got that kind of a draw with a 9-2 Valley team. |
|
