MVFCWeek 9 Picks

[aldewitt]

From a spread sheet I developed I show the winner and a mythical score for the over under and the spread.  Thats not necessary but It does give an idea what you think the relative strength comparisons are.   Its fun because I can compare the group think to the analyzer.  The group, no matter how they do it, is often correct, defying the statistical profile of the teams.

For what Im calling week nine here are the my picks:   

USD 35 @ UNI 22
WIU 27 @ ISUr 29.  Expect ISUr to cover and probably over.
YSU 34 @ ISUb 18
MSU 26 @ SIU 36.  Are the Bears going to pull an upset?  I hope so but Im sticking with SIU.
NDSU 32 @ SDSU 25

Tie breaker:

UND @ SUU  I pick SUU.  I saw 4 tickets available for $19 each.  Its a lovely town, been there a number of times.

 

[nccyote]

USD- going to be a slug fest. USD is able to outscore UNI 35-24
ISUr- Redbirds are on a roll right now and I think ISUr wins big 42-21
YSU- they finally get to play somebody thats unranked and get the W 31-7
MSU- The Bears can score and I don't think SIU can keep up with their back-up QB leading the way- MSU wins 41-28
NDSU- Bison roll in brookings 28-12

Tie Breaker:
S. Utah

[Coyote Fan]

USD at UNI - upset pick here with UNI winning 28-24
WIU at ISUr - gonna go with the hot hand and take the Red Birds 34-21
YSU at ISUb - if the Pens can't get back on track here they are really in trouble - I will take YSU 28-0
MSU at SIU - The Valley is a weekly league - Taking the Salukis 37-33
SDSU at NDSU - the weather doesn't look too bad - I will still take the Bison 41-24

Tie breaker - easy one - Southern Utah

[easmus]

Bison
Redbirds
Penguins
Bears
Coyotes

[gopheryote]

USD 44 @ UNI 27 - Yotes grab a nice lead early, hold on for dear life late
WIU 27 @ Ill St 31 - Ill St is peaking at a good time
YSU 27 @ In St 24 - YSU has checked out mentally, but In St, oof
MSU 27 @ SIU 37 - MSU is a trendy pick, but their defense is sooo bad
NDSU 27 @ SDSU 13 - Bison control the game, which is pretty boring one to watch. However, I don't think I've picked SDSU right since they played Drake, so what do I know.

Maybe the most important thing to note is all road team will score 27 points except USD (but UNI will score 27).

Bonus pick: UND 27 @ SUU 37

[easmus]

Nov 2, 2017 14:45:26 GMT -6 easmus said:

Bison
Redbirds
Penguins
Bears
Coyotes

Just realized I picked 4 road teams to win. Wouldn’t that be something.

[coyote70]

Here we go again:

USD @ UNI USD because if I pick UNI I'll have Backsackdad on my case
WIU @ ISUr ISUr wins a tough one
YSU @ ISUb YSU wins an easy one
MSU @ SIU Cannot pick the Bears on the road (SIU winner)
NDSU @ SDSU Upset special - Bison caught looking ahead to next week's game (SDSU winner).

UND @ SUU SUU wins and the Fightin' Hawks lay an egg. Score: 14-37 (only am adding a score since I thought this was to be a tie breaker)

[aldewitt]

I would have added a score for the UND game as well but didn’t have one.  They are excited up there after the upset in Portland. They may not know it in Grand Forks, which isn’t unusual, but it was their biggest D1 win to date. 

[Yotes]

USD
Illinois State
Youngstown State
Missouri State
NDSU

Tiebreaker: UND loses out

[aldewitt]

Nothing but upsets!  Down goes USD. Down go the Bison. Down go the Redbirds. Heck, down goes SIU!  Only 1 game, the YSU/Indiana State game played out. What a week. 

With only 1 conference loss the Bison control their destiny by winning out. But what a schedule. USD in Fargo and ISUr on the road. 

That puts the season on the line and all the marbles too in Fargo under The Fabulous Fargo Dome next Saturday. 

I havent looked but it it will be interesting to see if ticket prices are affected by the now clear and known high stakes of the game. 

Ps.  UND gave up 40 plus AGAIN this week. Lots of offense in the Big Sky. One thing about UND, they have been a very reliable pick this year and a lot of fun to watch. 

[coyotecrazie5]

I didn't get my picks in, but I would have been 2-4 only getting the YSU and SUU games correct.