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Post by Yotes on Oct 20, 2018 18:18:11 GMT -6
That UNI line is enticing. Idybe incliined to take the points. UNI are 17.5 point underdogs. At home. Absolutely no way sdsu covers that spread. UNI wins 24-9. If I were a betting man I would have put my entire life savings on that one. |
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Post by Yote 53 on Oct 20, 2018 20:16:10 GMT -6
I begged my wife to put the house on that line this morning. Easiest money to be made ever. Not saying SDSU could not have win that game, but by 17.5? No way.
Ok, not begged, just pointed it out because I don't gamble. Maybe I should in the obvious.
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Post by aldewitt on Oct 21, 2018 1:36:13 GMT -6
Felt the same way myself but I was also tempted by the NDSU game but they covered the huge spread again.
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Post by aldewitt on Oct 21, 2018 7:43:40 GMT -6
Final outcome Oct 20, 2018: According to all indicators there were 3 upsets in red. Sagarin indicates 4 upsets. Each indicator had 1 team covering the spread. Home field is 2.47 for SAGARIN ratings. | GAME | SAGARIN | 5 DIMES | O/U | GAM | O/U | Final Score | | USD @ YSU | USD -5 | USD -4.5 | 55 | USD -2 | 56 (29-27) | YSU 29-17 | | SDSU @ UNI | SDSU -2 | SDSU -14.5 | 63 | SDSU -11 | 63 (37-26) | UNI 24-9 | | WIU @ MSU | MSU -7 | MSU -10 | 63 | MSU -6 | 58 (32-26) | WIU 31-14 | | INS @ SIU | SIU -5 | INS -2.5 | 60.5 | INS -4 | 64 (34-30) | INS 24-21 | | ILS @ NDSU | NDSU -13 | NDSU -16 | 40.5 | NDSU -4 | 48 (26-22) | NDSU 28-14 | | UND @ Sac State | N/A | UND -10.5* | 51.5 | N/A |
| UND 41- 15 |
*An exibition game was included for pre-conference UND by 5dimes. UND covered the spread and in a blowout took the game over the 51.5 indicated. They want a playoff game in Fargo. They are on their way to getting it. One element missing from the GAM is the home field advantage. This week it is calculated to be 8.79 points. This is a big number but the spreads at home have been big, both for winners and losers. FOR THIS WEEKS GAM: - The standard deviation for the O/U was 9.86 with all games under.
- The good defenses are shutting things down making high total score tough to acheive.
- Early season bonus stats from under matched OOC play are getting watered down.
- Big spreads can be covered.
- Correlation of O/U = -.45. It's about the same for the other indicators.
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