MVFC GAMES 11/3/18

[aldewitt]

FOR GAMES NOVEMBER 3:

The power ranking reveals how a team has performed against its competition.   1=parity.   Based on all games the  average power ratio of the league is .95.  Based on conference play only it is 1.07.

based on all games the power ratio for the league this week is

• NDSU .47
• SDSU .69
• ISU .72
• UNI  .79
• USD  .85
• MSU  .89
• IND .90
• SIU  1.18
• YSU 1.35
• WIU  1.66

Most teams in the league can expect to be even or slightly undermatched in league play but against the division slightly overmatched.  

Is the MVFC a tough place to play?  My advice:  if you dont know any better take the MVFC team. 

Games for 11/10/18:

GAME	Predicted Winner GAM	O/U	Mythical Score	Actual Score	Sagarin	5DIMES
MSU @ SDSU	SDSU  -10	61	SDSU 36-26	SDSU 59-7	SDSU -16	N/A
YSU @ NDSU	NDSU  -16	48	NDSU 32-16	NDSU 17-7	NDSU -28.5	N/A
USD @ IND*	USD -4	64	USD 33-29	INS 51-48	USD -8	N/A
ILS @ UNI**	ILS  -10	48	ILS 29-19	UNI 26-16	UNI -3	N/A
WIU @ SIU	WIU  -2	60	WIU 31-29	WIU 34-31	WIU -6	N/A
UND	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

*Both the Sycamores and USD score a lot, the Sycamores just a bit more.  Both give up a lot of points too but USD just a few more.  This would be a big win for INS.  USD is the favorite but on the skids.  They would like to get up off the mat  If you like football this promises to be a great game.

**ILS is a good team.  They can score as often, and as easily as UNI but the Panthers allow too many points and too many yards.  It might not be 10 so it doesn't look like they can cover but as the game wears on it is expected the differences will show.

My upset pick is MSU over SDSU.

[aldewitt]

FOR GAMES NOVEMBER 3:

Games for 11/27/18:
home field advantage of 2.43 was added to Sagarin score of UNI

GAME	Predicted Winner GAM	O/U	Mythical Score	Actual Score	Sagarin	5DIMES
MSU @ SDSU	SDSU  -10	61	SDSU 36-26		SDSU -21	N/A
YSU @ NDSU	NDSU  -16	48	NDSU 32-16		NDSU -33	N/A
USD @ IND*	INS -2	64	INS 34-32		USD -2.7	N/A
ILS @ UNI**	ILS  -10	48	ILS 29-19		UNI -1	N/A
WIU @ SIU	WIU  -2	60	WIU 31-29		WIU -7	N/A
UND	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Suprised to see changes in the Sagarin scores this morning but figure I got in too early yesterday and picked last weeks.  According to Sagarin here's how the teams stack up nationally including both FBS & FCS.  Looking over the ranking a lot of Big 12 and MW teams would fit right in to the MVFC.

       

Team	Rank	Rank Score	Vs. NDSU
Alabama	1	102.5
NDSU	22	81.46
Ducks	50	74.54	+6.92
Colorado	53	72.52	+8.94
Arizona	57	72.28	+9.18
KSU	59	71.29	+10.17
JMU	65	70.45	+11.01
SDSU	68	70.05
ILS	82	66.76
UNI	86	65.23
WIU	121	57.15
USD	137	52.19
MSU	142	49.42
SIU	144	49.85
INS	149	49.49
YSU	160	48.22
UND	N/A	N/A

       

[aldewitt]

FOR GAMES NOVEMBER 3

This afternoon we have the updates to the sheet

Games for 11/27/18:
home field advantage of 2.43 was added to Sagarin score of UNI

GAME	Predicted Winner GAM	O/U	Mythical Score	Actual Score	Sagarin	5DIMES	O/U
MSU @ SDSU	SDSU  -10	61	SDSU 36-26		SDSU -21	SDSU -23	69
YSU @ NDSU	NDSU  -16	48	NDSU 32-16		NDSU -33	NDSU -35	50
USD @ IND*	INS -2	64	INS 34-32		USD -2.7	IND -2	63
ILS @ UNI**	ILS  -10	48	ILS 29-19		UNI -1	UNI -6.5	41.5
WIU @ SIU	WIU  -2	60	WIU 31-29		WIU -7	WIU -6	61.5
UND	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

[aldewitt]

FOR GAMES NOVEMBER 3

finals are in

Games for 11/27/18:
home field advantage of 2.43 was added to Sagarin score of UNI

GAME	Predicted Winner GAM	O/U	Mythical Score	Actual Score	Sagarin	5DIMES	O/U
MSU @ SDSU	SDSU  -10	61	SDSU 36-26	SDSU 59-7	SDSU -21	SDSU -23	69
YSU @ NDSU	NDSU  -16	48	NDSU 32-16	NDSU 17-7	NDSU -33	NDSU -35	50
USD @ IND*	INS -2	64	INS 34-32	INS 51-48	USD -2.7	IND -2	63
ILS @ UNI**	ILS  -10	48	ILS 29-19	UNI 26-16	UNI -1	UNI -6.5	41.5
WIU @ SIU	WIU  -2	60	WIU 31-29	WIU 34-31	WIU -7	WIU -6	61.5
UND	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

[/quote]It must have been a great way for Leatherneck fans to spend the afternoon!  Nothing like a big come back and on the road too!









[/ul]

[leatherneckcountry]

WIU finally wins in an amazing come back in the house of horror at SIU WIU was down 31-14 after 3 WIU had not won there since 2000.

[aldewitt]

Nov 3, 2018 15:49:16 GMT -6 leatherneckcountry said:

WIU finally wins in an amazing come back in the house of horror at SIU WIU was down 31-14 after 3 WIU had not won there since 2000.

They are saying tonight on Bison 1660 WIU is in the playoffs as 1 of 4 from the Valley including NDSU, SDSU and UNI.

[leatherneckcountry]

Nov 3, 2018 17:05:38 GMT -6 aldewitt said:

Nov 3, 2018 15:49:16 GMT -6 leatherneckcountry said:

WIU finally wins in an amazing come back in the house of horror at SIU WIU was down 31-14 after 3 WIU had not won there since 2000.

They are saying tonight on Bison 1660 WIU is in the playoffs as 1 of 4 from the Valley including NDSU, SDSU and UNI.

We still need to win out and it won't be easy with you next week and INSU the last week  

[aldewitt]

That should be another good game. These games are what it’s all about.  They are fun to watch and I bet they are fun to play too.  Idaho and UND are locked in a great battle right now 20-17 UND. It’s early 4th on Pluto. 

Check back. The GAM will have the probable outcome of next weeks game tomorrow.