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Post by aldewitt on Dec 4, 2017 14:05:52 GMT -6
Because SHSU beat the Yotes I have adopted them as a MVFC representative in proxy. Here is the outlook for their game:
PREDICTED WINNER: KENNESAW STATE OWLS SPREAD: -4 OVER/UNDER: 64 MYTHICAL SCORE: Kennesaw 34 SHSU 30 SUGGESTED ACTION: Take Kennesaw and give the points. They should cover and slow the Kats down enough to keep it under the mythical 64.
This could really be an offensive show with all indications the offenses are very capable of putting up over 80 combined points. Its going to be the overwhelming running game of the Owls (329 yds/game!) against the passing machine of SHSU (361 yds/game).
The diffence will be on the defensive side. Kennesaw State has the better defense and it is significant. SHSU is going to struggle to achieve an average day. On the other hand the SHSU defensive statistics tell me Kennesaw could roll.
With the ability to control the clock and convert third downs to keep drives alive The Owls stand a good chance of winning this game. They are also very good at stopping opponents on third down. The attack that The BearKats like to mount with good receivers catching balls on the fly and gobbling up huge chunks of yardage may not get off to the fast start they experienced against USD. I think Kennesaw will slow the BearKats down a step while producing an average day and the win.
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YoKid
Sophomore Member
Posts: 123
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Post by YoKid on Dec 4, 2017 21:40:16 GMT -6
I’m taking SHSU; at home undefeated in the playoffs...streak goes to 12. Kennesaw State is building something special in record time, but 2 upsets on the road back to back is a tough ask. If Davion Davis can stay on the field for SHSU they will put up points. In addition, the SHSU D is somewhat suspect, however the rush D is better than their pass D so match up better with KS...
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 7, 2017 14:00:34 GMT -6
Your asking the intangables to make up a 4 point spread. I think you named enough: Home field and momentum to at least deserve a tie, but I just can't let those factors overpower the teams relative strengths.
SHSU is giving up 170 yds on the ground and Kennesaw is a uhuge running team that averages over 300 yds/game. That means control of clock and an ever increasing ease to complete those passes, which Kennesaw just well enought to put on some hurt. On the other hand when SHSU tries to crash the line they are going up against a defense that doesn't even allow 100 yds rushing/game.
This could be the game the suspect SHSU defense gets rolled.
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Post by yoteforever on Dec 7, 2017 14:06:49 GMT -6
Your asking the intangables to make up a 4 point spread. I think you named enough: Home field and momentum to at least deserve a tie, but I just can't let those factors overpower the teams relative strengths. SHSU is giving up 170 yds on the ground and Kennesaw is a uhuge running team that averages over 300 yds/game. That means control of clock and an ever increasing ease to complete those passes, which Kennesaw just well enought to put on some hurt. On the other hand when SHSU tries to crash the line they are going up against a defense that doesn't even allow 100 yds rushing/game. This could be the game the suspect SHSU defense gets rolled. Great job all year aldewitt. I appreciate you and the effort. Figure out how your system gets us to Frisco in 18. 😄👍
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 8, 2017 3:17:47 GMT -6
It’s a fun game to watch. I think a few injuries and the suspensions kept The Yotes from achieving their best possible season. I don’t believe the problems were anywhere near the utter collapse in Grand Forks. I believe the reason is a strong program committed to excellence. At UND you have a lot of windbags claiming excellence but excellence is not a factor up there and hasn’t been for 17 years.
As the program builds depth injuries can be less frequent and less disruptive to the team. NDSU had as many or more injuries to key players as UND but is still fielding a national championship caliber team. Nielson is the type of coach that can lead USD to the same place. Besides where else is he going to find the kind of competition he finds among his coaching peers in the MVFC?
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 8, 2017 3:19:32 GMT -6
The main discussion on AGS right now is the ability to compare statistics between conferences, the old strength of schedule canard.
Wofford and Kennesaw State are a couple of interesting teams. These games may provide valuable insights to that problem. USD may have next years version of some of these teams on their schedules late next season.
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 9, 2017 20:37:10 GMT -6
Looks like the Owls are struggling. SHSU has the option stopped and their offense isn’t slowed down one bit. Lot of football left but SHSU seems to be rolling.
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 9, 2017 21:50:02 GMT -6
Kennesaw is a tough team and won’t go away in what is now a bruising 24-17 game with Kennesaw battling back.
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 9, 2017 22:44:27 GMT -6
That was quite the game! SHSU just stopped KS at their 8 yd line and took over on downs with under a minute. SHSU 34. KS 27. BearKats in Fargo. There will be no strength of schedule adjustment. Their win over USD now appears to be routine. Kennesaw State has a great team. A very physical game tonight, fun to watch. The GAM was right there in the end too but didn’t get it right. On the other hand it was a little tougher than some Sammy fans might have thought.
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