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Post by Yote 53 on Jan 27, 2011 14:30:14 GMT -6
Nah, let's hang 60 on them, give them their pizza and thank 'em for stopping by.
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Post by Coyote Fan on Jan 27, 2011 19:26:15 GMT -6
The schedule is a bit better than I thought it would be. The Lindenwood game is going to be a better game than most think. Maybe a 2 touchdown win.
Never too early to make a win-loss prediction
South Dakota 2011 Football Schedule Sep. 3: @ Air Force - L Sept. 10: Eastern Washington - L Sept. 17: Lamar - W Sept. 24: @ Wisconsin - L Oct. 1: Lindenwood - W Oct. 8: Southern Utah (Dakota Days) - W Oct. 15: @ Illinois State - L Oct. 22: UC Davis (Family Day) - L Oct. 29: @ Cal Poly - L Nov. 12: Missouri S&T - W Nov. 19: @ North Dakota - L
Could be a bit of a rough year if the predictions go this way. 4-7 in my pick but I see it realistically as somewhere between 3-8 & 6-5. Probably won't be better and probably won't be worse than this range.
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Post by yotemeal on Jan 28, 2011 8:54:40 GMT -6
My guess:
Sep. 3: @ Air Force L
Sept. 10: Eastern Washington W (not a Vegas W, but an "optimistic for season signature win" W. EWU graduates its starting QB, but returns a ton of talent, including, I believe, their entire fleet of running backs and top receivers. The Dome is our house).
Sept. 17: Lamar W (had no business losing at their place. Revenge.)
Sept. 24: @ Wisconsin L (Madison, WI....I hope I remember some of the game...)
Oct. 1: Lindenwood W
Oct. 8: Southern Utah (Dakota Days) W (I've got some meaningful analysis for you....Happy DDAYS!!!!).
Oct. 15: @ Illinois State W (Somewhat of a blind pick, but I count that they graduate 24 seniors, including their starting qb.)
Oct. 22: UC Davis (Family Day) W (Dome Field Advantage)
Oct. 29: @ Cal Poly W
Nov. 12: Missouri S&T W
Nov. 19: @ North Dakota W (Have fun in the Big Sky).
Okay, now I'll take my rose colored glasses off for a second. EWU is going to be tough sledding. Also, the 7 straight wins I'm predicting to end the season...yeah, that's an ambitious expectation, but it's possible. Stranger things have happened. While we may not go 9-2, I could see us finishing around 7-4. Go Yotes!
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Post by yotemeal on Jan 28, 2011 10:48:36 GMT -6
My guess: Sep. 3: @ Air Force LSept. 10: Eastern Washington W (not a Vegas W, but an "optimistic for season signature win" W. EWU graduates its starting QB, but returns a ton of talent, including, I believe, their entire fleet of running backs and top receivers. The Dome is our house). Sept. 17: Lamar W (had no business losing at their place. Revenge.) Sept. 24: @ Wisconsin L (Madison, WI....I hope I remember some of the game...) Oct. 1: Lindenwood WOct. 8: Southern Utah (Dakota Days) W (I've got some meaningful analysis for you....Happy DDAYS!!!!). Oct. 15: @ Illinois State W (Somewhat of a blind pick, but I count that they graduate 24 seniors, including their starting qb.) Oct. 22: UC Davis (Family Day) W (Dome Field Advantage) Oct. 29: @ Cal Poly WNov. 12: Missouri S&T WNov. 19: @ North Dakota W (Have fun in the Big Sky). Okay, now I'll take my rose colored glasses off for a second. EWU is going to be tough sledding. Also, the 7 straight wins I'm predicting to end the season...yeah, that's an ambitious expectation, but it's possible. Stranger things have happened. While we may not go 9-2, I could see us finishing around 7-4. Go Yotes! Scratch my analysis on Illinois State. Total brain cramp. I was looking at the Western Illinois roster. Oops. Illinois State only graduates 10 and appears to return most of its skill guys, including the qb.
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usdlaw
Senior Member
Posts: 930
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Post by usdlaw on Jan 28, 2011 13:06:44 GMT -6
I'm thinking after starting 1-3, we finish 6-1 and go 7-4 on the year. That would mean we go undefeated in the GWC.
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Post by Yote 53 on Jan 28, 2011 15:51:42 GMT -6
I think we have the players to compete with and beat EWU, especially at home. Whether we put together a complete game and win is another thing. I wouldn't be to quick to accept a 1-3 start, 2-2 is doable.
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Post by Coyote Fan on Jan 29, 2011 0:39:16 GMT -6
Last year coming in the momentum was high coming into the season with two big wins against S. Utah and at Cal-Poly. It seemed to help the Yotes but the downfall was substancial after that especially after the North Dakota game. Other than the wide receivers I can't think of a whole lot of other positions that I am jumping up and down with enthusiasm that have many returning players.
The offense regressed and it doesn't appear anything is going to be different heading into the off season. There really isn't much objectively thinking that is going to point towards a large improvement with the unit and that is with an already stud group of wide receivers.
With the defense I thought Chuck Morrell was heading in the right direction but wasn't perfect either. I think with the talent he had he did a respectfull job. Better than what has been done the preceding few years before him. If USD does not make a splash with his replacement or goes internal I believe the Defense will take a step back. Certainly if they don't have cohesion (which is likely) it will definately hurt having to start with another new DC.
My prediction is based upon having many more negatives carry over than positives including the programs overall momentum. The first few games are not going to help with them being very difficult.
I may be inclined to change my prediction just before the first game if I see a few things. If one of the new quarterback additions (assuming any are eligible in the fall) end up winning the job that will be a plus. Noah Shepard as a freshman could have won the job right away but ended up taking it mid season anyway. We simply are behind the other teams when it comes to a pocket quarterback presence. With a struggling running game it certainly didn't help matters. With that said it doesn't appear that the coaching is significantly helping matters when it comes to this unit.
Another factor will be at tailback. If another tailback steps up and wins the job (assuming the job is available to be won) I think that will significantly help the offense. We really had weakness at the position last year.
The new DC will end up being effective. I really think USD's defense was as good or better than they sum of it's parts.
I have the record at 4-7 right now which based upon how last year finished isn't very far off. The Dome isn't bringing the magic like it used to in the "W" column.
A new quarterback winning the job is potentially +1 to +1.5 to the wins A new runningback is potentially a +0.5 to +1 A new, somewhat proven DC is worth potentially a +1 to +1.5
There are 3-4 wins to be added depending on what happens in the off season. Based upon the history, especially recent history I don't think those aspects will be realised.
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Post by #1CoyoteFan (Admin) on Jan 29, 2011 1:37:47 GMT -6
For a new quarterback to unseat the old one, there has to be a difference of two or more games or else there really isn't that much of a difference to be honest. Same with running back. I will use the Auburn Tigers as my example here. Cam Newton was worse 4 to 8 more wins depending on the impact and the running back Dyer was worth 3 to 5 games I think, hard to tell with Newton there. But if you noticed the national championship game, he was huge. That's the type of impact you one. A game or game and a half is way too small of an improvement, and how do you know the QB was the difference and not something else? That's like going from what Miami had to deal with, Jacoby Harris and Stephen Morris.
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Its a Great Day to Be An Eagle
Guest
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Post by Its a Great Day to Be An Eagle on Jan 29, 2011 11:22:23 GMT -6
Our QB Bo Levi Mitchell will be a Senior next year. Our big losses are Taiwan Jones, our all-world RB who declared for the draft and LB JT Sherrit who was the FCS D player of the year who graduated.
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Post by clawman on Jan 29, 2011 11:57:35 GMT -6
The schedule is a bit better than I thought it would be. The Lindenwood game is going to be a better game than most think. Maybe a 2 touchdown win. Never too early to make a win-loss prediction South Dakota 2011 Football Schedule Sep. 3: @ Air Force - L Sept. 10: Eastern Washington - L Sept. 17: Lamar - W Sept. 24: @ Wisconsin - L Oct. 1: Lindenwood - W Oct. 8: Southern Utah (Dakota Days) - W Oct. 15: @ Illinois State - L Oct. 22: UC Davis (Family Day) - L Oct. 29: @ Cal Poly - L Nov. 12: Missouri S&T - W Nov. 19: @ North Dakota - L Could be a bit of a rough year if the predictions go this way. 4-7 in my pick but I see it realistically as somewhere between 3-8 & 6-5. Probably won't be better and probably won't be worse than this range. The EWU National Champ Eagles loose their star running back to the NFL draft. He chose to go early but we were without his services for the Nova and Delaware games and it worked out OK. We DO NOT loose our QB. He will be a sr. Defense is pretty much in tact with the exception of JC Sherritt the FCS Buck Buchanan winner at l b. I graduated hs from Roncalli in Aberdeen so am looking forward to the trip and a visit home. Go Eagles.
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Post by Coyote Fan on Jan 29, 2011 12:17:13 GMT -6
This is what is disturbing to me and isn't targeted at one individual in particular. I realise that most want to be hopefull but don't mistake blind faith with reality here. There is almost no real indication that USD is about to play this schedule at 8-3 or even 7-4. That is just not realistic.
Lets face it the Wisconsin and Air Force games are each to be considered a 90% chance of a loss of greater. Neither is a Minnesota and the stars had to allign near perfectly for USD to walk out of TCF Bank Stadium with a win.
For USD to even finish 7-4 they would need to go 7-2 with the rest of the schedule. I think it's amazing that people would count the game in Grand Forks as a win. What has it been, since at least 1980 something since USD has won up there. I put the odds of a win even if things are looking "up" as no greater than a 33% probability. Right now it's a 20% probability.
The Big 3 at home that are considered swing games are against E. Washington, UC-Davis and Southern Utah. USD has not been able to win all their games at home for a few years now and the odds of them winning all 3 are well below 50%.
The logical conclusions point to a down year. With what is coming back at the key positions combined with the off season momentum, combined with a new DC I would like to know what elements about this team should we conclude are going to get better. The part of this team that stands out like a sore thumb and screams poor coaching is the certain but steady decline of a young football team through a season that should have gained momentum, not lost it. To not capitilize on the biggest win, prehaps in program history, is alarming. USD should become better by playing games against Minnesota and Northern Iowa but for whatever reason the program gets beaten and battered by them instead and generally regresses from them instead of building from it.
I was completely shocked by 2 games. The game at S. Utah with a potential share of the conference title on the line should have brought out the very best and an urgency in the team. Instead quite the opposite. It's like the team didn't understand the significance of the game and what a win could mean. Then to go play the kind of game to end the season at Lamar shows me that the Yotes were much more in the mindset of wanting to put the pads away rather than taking care of business in a game most thought they should win by a comfortable margin.
USD under Meierkort is not a team that can play a difficult schedule with minimal cupcake games and come through it strong. They have never proven they are able to do it so why should we be assuming they will suddenly start in 2011.
They say the definition of insanity is to do the same thing over and over and expect a different result. We have our same team and to expect better than 6-5, well you draw the conclusion.
Bottom line is that the USD program should have moved in a new direction in the off season so the real opportunity to do something in the FCS ranks will just have to wait at least another season.
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Post by GoYotes on Jan 29, 2011 12:39:05 GMT -6
Coyote Fan - SOS - DD
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se174
Freshman Member
Posts: 10
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Post by se174 on Jan 29, 2011 14:31:03 GMT -6
Defending national champs at home. Wow. Need to roll out the red carpet for the Eagles. Damn right you better! ;D
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Post by yotemeal on Jan 29, 2011 16:01:29 GMT -6
Obviously some quick and sloppy research on my part, as EWU fans have pointed out.
There's been no shortage of discussion on this board about the potential for noise in the DakotaDome. I expect the place to be rocking when EWU rolls into town.
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Post by pierreyote on Jan 29, 2011 16:12:21 GMT -6
Very nice schedule. If you consider our conference, location and transition situation this is a great schedule. I don't like to make predictions when so many unknowns, ours and opponents, are far from being resolved but I see USD with a 6-5 record.
Go yotes.
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