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Post by easmus on Dec 24, 2018 12:20:43 GMT -6
12 game regular season next year. If I was setting the over/under, my early line would be 6.5. If they can win the opener against Montana, 3-1 should be the record in OOC. 4-4 in MVFC should be attainable. Too early to break it down game by game. If Moore backs up Simmons, they might be more willing to run the qb early in the year if they think it will help the offense. I think it probably takes 8 wins to make the playoffs.
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Post by Yotes on Dec 24, 2018 13:40:32 GMT -6
This team is going 9-2, maybe even 10-1.
Seriously though, I would say 7 wins is a likely playoff spot but it really depends on how the FCS shakes out. 8 wins is a guaranteed spot. Here's a somewhat conservative shakeout of how I see things:
Montana - W
@ Oklahoma - L
Houston Baptist - W
@ Northern Colorado - W
Indiana State - W
@ Missouri State - W
@ UNI - L
Southern Illinois - W
@ Western Illinois - L
Youngstown State - W
@ NDSU - L
sdsu - W
Right now I would be disappointed if we aren't back in the playoffs. The talent was there this year so hopefully coaching changes will put things back on track.
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Post by easmus on Dec 24, 2018 14:06:13 GMT -6
I’d flip flop the Mo st and Western games. MO St returns their QB and Western loses a lot if I’m not mistaken. UNI should be an interesting game. They lose a senior QB. Plus I’m not sure I’m ready to predict a victory over SDSU.
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Post by yotefbfan on Dec 24, 2018 15:03:59 GMT -6
This team is going 9-2, maybe even 10-1. Seriously though, I would say 7 wins is a likely playoff spot but it really depends on how the FCS shakes out. 8 wins is a guaranteed spot. Here's a somewhat conservative shakeout of how I see things: Montana - W @ Oklahoma - L Houston Baptist - W @ Northern Colorado - W Indiana State - W @ Missouri State - W @ UNI - L Southern Illinois - W @ Western Illinois - L Youngstown State - W @ NDSU - L sdsu - W Right now I would be disappointed if we aren't back in the playoffs. The talent was there this year so hopefully coaching changes will put things back on track. I agree I like the start of the season and feel that we should be 5-1 going into UNI. If we can go 3-3 in the last 6 we are in the playoffs. A lot of time between now and next fall, but I would like to think that with big graduating classes form both XDSUs, there is going to be greater parody throughout the MVFC next year. |
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Post by Yote 53 on Dec 26, 2018 21:21:48 GMT -6
I got us at 5-1 to start the season. I'll be disappointed if that doesn't happen. After that I have no idea.
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 27, 2018 16:42:43 GMT -6
I’m worried about Indiana State. It looks like they only graduate one Sr with 8 R-SR returning. I presume that means red shirt with a year left.
That was was a good team. They won in 3 OTs and will likely be better next season. They have an NDSU connection at LB coach but I think Grant Olsen is now at NDSU as LB coach?
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Post by elcoyote on Dec 27, 2018 17:06:48 GMT -6
Indiana State was definitely the feel good story of last season and the most improved team in the league, but their 7-4 included a win over a D2 school and managing to avoid NDSU in conference play which will once again be a benefit for them next season. Besides the three overtime win vs USD, they also pulled off a few other last second squeakers. If a few of those flip the other way next season they'll be average, although definitely not a team that can be taken lightly anymore. Offensively they'll be tough, that QB is for real, but on defense I'm not so sure. They lose their heart: both tackles, MLB and the safeties, five starters from a unit that was just average. MVFC will be another jumble next season. I just hope teams don't knock each other out of the playoffs like they seemed to this season.
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Post by elcoyote on Dec 27, 2018 17:19:16 GMT -6
I got us at 5-1 to start the season. I'll be disappointed if that doesn't happen. After that I have no idea. Possibly the biggest key to getting a hoped for playoff bid next season could be a win in the opener against Montana. They're usually tough, but thankfully it's at home. That should really help. I would think 3-1 OOC is mandatory or all bets are off. |
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 28, 2018 5:31:39 GMT -6
Those close wins by The Sycamores could be signs of a turn around. Teams need to learn to win. Pulling out the close ones does that. Losing them often has the opposite effect. Most weeks The GAM had them beating USD this season but not by much. I was as surprised as anyone and even did a little impact maintenance on the machine to no avail. I’m putting it down as a toss-up and a “must see” game.
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Post by easmus on Dec 28, 2018 9:08:14 GMT -6
Biggest thing next year will be that Indy st (or Mizz st) won’t be sneaking up on anyone next season. And SIU could be much improved with Petrino as their new DC.
USD needs a big time offseason of development in a lot of areas, but to me the OL is first and DL a close second.
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Post by sportschic on Dec 28, 2018 10:19:10 GMT -6
Starting in January we need leaders to emerge and start leading! A team with no leaders is a team that is lost. This may seem minor but in the game of football it is essential.
The next essential need is the coaching vacancies. These must be filled with coaches that have D1 experience and bring respect of proven success.
The talent is there, we have it, it has to be maximized.
My concerns are the OL. Whatever was broken last season must be fixed if we are going to be contenders next season. I think the schedule is in our favor.
I have full confidence in Coach Nielson... he will make sure we are playoff contenders next season!
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Post by howlingyote on Dec 28, 2018 12:40:51 GMT -6
Biggest thing next year will be that Indy st (or Mizz st) won’t be sneaking up on anyone next season. And SIU could be much improved with Petrino as their new DC. USD needs a big time offseason of development in a lot of areas, but to me the OL is first and DL a close second. Agree with you on the OL needs immediate improvement. The DL will be fine. We already have good edge play and with Schultz back, coaches can’t just focus on our DE positions. My concern us LB position. Our LB play was inconsistent at best. We were undersized too. If we fix the OL and LB positions, look out for the yotes this year. |
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91jack
Sophomore Member
Posts: 162
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Post by 91jack on Dec 28, 2018 15:52:53 GMT -6
This team is going 9-2, maybe even 10-1. Seriously though, I would say 7 wins is a likely playoff spot but it really depends on how the FCS shakes out. 8 wins is a guaranteed spot. Here's a somewhat conservative shakeout of how I see things: Montana - W @ Oklahoma - L Houston Baptist - W @ Northern Colorado - W Indiana State - W @ Missouri State - W @ UNI - L Southern Illinois - W @ Western Illinois - L Youngstown State - W @ NDSU - L sdsu - W Right now I would be disappointed if we aren't back in the playoffs. The talent was there this year so hopefully coaching changes will put things back on track. I agree I like the start of the season and feel that we should be 5-1 going into UNI. If we can go 3-3 in the last 6 we are in the playoffs. A lot of time between now and next fall, but I would like to think that with big graduating classes form both XDSUs, there is going to be greater parody throughout the MVFC next year. NDSU did have 24 (I think) players in the senior class this season but SDSU only lost 13. I think that is the same number that USD lost. SDSU does lose Christian (QB) and Brown (CB) which will be hugh loses. After those two, they lose a few other starters in Hayle (punter), 2 OL, Snyder (the safety from Iowa), Cox LB and a few roll players. I'm not saying that SDSU won't drop off next season because Brown seemed to be the only lock down CB they had and TC was the starting QB for 3 1/2 seasons so who know how that will turn out. |
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91jack
Sophomore Member
Posts: 162
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Post by 91jack on Dec 28, 2018 16:13:04 GMT -6
Indiana State was definitely the feel good story of last season and the most improved team in the league, but their 7-4 included a win over a D2 school and managing to avoid NDSU in conference play which will once again be a benefit for them next season. Besides the three overtime win vs USD, they also pulled off a few other last second squeakers. If a few of those flip the other way next season they'll be average, although definitely not a team that can be taken lightly anymore. Offensively they'll be tough, that QB is for real, but on defense I'm not so sure. They lose their heart: both tackles, MLB and the safeties, five starters from a unit that was just average. MVFC will be another jumble next season. I just hope teams don't knock each other out of the playoffs like they seemed to this season. Indiana State seemed to play most of their conference games close last year. They played 8 conference games and 6 of them were decided by 5 points or less. They won 4 of the close games but they also lost 2 of them. USD lost to them in 3 OT"s and SDSU beat them in 1 OT. Avoiding NDSU is always a big help for your record. I do hope that there isn't the jumbled mess next season either. |
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Post by aldewitt on Dec 29, 2018 11:01:05 GMT -6
Indiana St didn’t even rank well in conference team stats. In most categories they were mid to bottom but in rushing they were #2 behind NDSU. There is one more thing. INS was 4th in scoring but they were 6th in total offense. This is a huge positive differential when compared to the league. What you want to see is the scoring rank ahead of total offense rank or as the case of the top 2 lead the league in both. When scoring outranks total offense It’s the sign of a good, efficient offense. SIU was the worst. For some reason they racked up yards but no points. For USD the problem was rushing. 9th in the league means a lot of drives end up with 3 or 0. Tough to win in that situation. | Team | Rank Scoring | Rank Total Offense | | SDSU | 1 | 1 | | NDSU | 2 | 2 | | ILS | 3 | 4 | | INS | 4 | 6 | | SIU | 5 | 3 | | USD | 6 | 5 | | UNI | 7 | 9 | | WIU | 8 | 8 | | YSU | 9 | 7 | | MSU | 10 | 10 |
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